May | 2018 | Mid-West Baseball League

2018 MID-SEASON EXPECTED WINS

Thanks to Casey Hoch of Fremont for putting this together.

Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	Exp
MCM	52	32	436	308	.621	52	32	0	1.427
DAL	50	34	357	295	.568	48	36	2	1.427
MAN	39	44	434	417	.514	43	40	-4	1.427
FRE	38	46	388	443	.453	38	46	0	1.427
SWD	18	66	226	557	.216	18	66	0	1.427
Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	Exp
TIJ	60	24	483	296	.668	56	28	4	1.427
CHI	54	30	445	289	.649	55	29	-1	1.427
DET	54	30	369	273	.606	51	33	3	1.427
YSS	34	50	350	458	.405	34	50	0	1.427
Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	Exp
HOL	51	33	384	272	.621	52	32	-1	1.427
MSS	39	44	369	397	.474	39	44	0	1.427
VIR	39	45	393	382	.510	43	41	-4	1.427
CCC	33	51	273	402	.365	31	53	2	1.427
SBL	26	58	357	475	.400	34	50	-8	1.427
Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	Exp
BET	51	33	365	275	.628	53	31	-2	1.845
JNE	45	39	379	324	.572	48	36	-3	1.845
CRK	42	42	332	316	.523	44	40	-2	1.845
PIT	41	43	373	323	.566	48	36	-7	1.845
HIW	34	50	296	375	.393	33	51	1	1.845
Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	Exp
TEM	63	21	440	285	.690	58	26	5	1.845
COL	52	32	454	326	.648	54	30	-2	1.845
VAL	41	43	337	350	.483	41	43	0	1.845
SEL	39	45	347	396	.439	37	47	2	1.845
Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	Exp
SAC	55	29	406	289	.652	55	29	0	1.845
TCP	39	45	398	392	.507	43	41	-4	1.845
POR	37	47	323	380	.426	36	48	1	1.845
LBD	31	53	309	441	.342	29	55	2	1.845
RRG	18	66	242	529	.191	16	68	2	1.845

These were calculated using the Pythagorean/Pythagenport Expected WinsCalculation.
Expected Winning Percentage= (Runs Scored^exp)/((Runs Scored^exp)+(Runs Allowed^exp)),
where the exponent (exp) is 0.45+1.5*log(League-Wide Runs Per Game). The AL scored ~5% more runs than the NL.

		Total Runs	10265
		AL Runs	5264
		NL Runs	5001