2018 MID-SEASON EXPECTED WINS
Thanks to Casey Hoch of Fremont for putting this together.
Team | Wins | Losses | Runs For | R Allowed | Exp W % | Exp Win | Exp Loss | Difference | Exp |
MCM | 52 | 32 | 436 | 308 | .621 | 52 | 32 | 0 | 1.427 |
DAL | 50 | 34 | 357 | 295 | .568 | 48 | 36 | 2 | 1.427 |
MAN | 39 | 44 | 434 | 417 | .514 | 43 | 40 | -4 | 1.427 |
FRE | 38 | 46 | 388 | 443 | .453 | 38 | 46 | 0 | 1.427 |
SWD | 18 | 66 | 226 | 557 | .216 | 18 | 66 | 0 | 1.427 |
Team | Wins | Losses | Runs For | R Allowed | Exp W % | Exp Win | Exp Loss | Difference | Exp |
TIJ | 60 | 24 | 483 | 296 | .668 | 56 | 28 | 4 | 1.427 |
CHI | 54 | 30 | 445 | 289 | .649 | 55 | 29 | -1 | 1.427 |
DET | 54 | 30 | 369 | 273 | .606 | 51 | 33 | 3 | 1.427 |
YSS | 34 | 50 | 350 | 458 | .405 | 34 | 50 | 0 | 1.427 |
Team | Wins | Losses | Runs For | R Allowed | Exp W % | Exp Win | Exp Loss | Difference | Exp |
HOL | 51 | 33 | 384 | 272 | .621 | 52 | 32 | -1 | 1.427 |
MSS | 39 | 44 | 369 | 397 | .474 | 39 | 44 | 0 | 1.427 |
VIR | 39 | 45 | 393 | 382 | .510 | 43 | 41 | -4 | 1.427 |
CCC | 33 | 51 | 273 | 402 | .365 | 31 | 53 | 2 | 1.427 |
SBL | 26 | 58 | 357 | 475 | .400 | 34 | 50 | -8 | 1.427 |
Team | Wins | Losses | Runs For | R Allowed | Exp W % | Exp Win | Exp Loss | Difference | Exp |
BET | 51 | 33 | 365 | 275 | .628 | 53 | 31 | -2 | 1.845 |
JNE | 45 | 39 | 379 | 324 | .572 | 48 | 36 | -3 | 1.845 |
CRK | 42 | 42 | 332 | 316 | .523 | 44 | 40 | -2 | 1.845 |
PIT | 41 | 43 | 373 | 323 | .566 | 48 | 36 | -7 | 1.845 |
HIW | 34 | 50 | 296 | 375 | .393 | 33 | 51 | 1 | 1.845 |
Team | Wins | Losses | Runs For | R Allowed | Exp W % | Exp Win | Exp Loss | Difference | Exp |
TEM | 63 | 21 | 440 | 285 | .690 | 58 | 26 | 5 | 1.845 |
COL | 52 | 32 | 454 | 326 | .648 | 54 | 30 | -2 | 1.845 |
VAL | 41 | 43 | 337 | 350 | .483 | 41 | 43 | 0 | 1.845 |
SEL | 39 | 45 | 347 | 396 | .439 | 37 | 47 | 2 | 1.845 |
Team | Wins | Losses | Runs For | R Allowed | Exp W % | Exp Win | Exp Loss | Difference | Exp |
SAC | 55 | 29 | 406 | 289 | .652 | 55 | 29 | 0 | 1.845 |
TCP | 39 | 45 | 398 | 392 | .507 | 43 | 41 | -4 | 1.845 |
POR | 37 | 47 | 323 | 380 | .426 | 36 | 48 | 1 | 1.845 |
LBD | 31 | 53 | 309 | 441 | .342 | 29 | 55 | 2 | 1.845 |
RRG | 18 | 66 | 242 | 529 | .191 | 16 | 68 | 2 | 1.845 |
These were calculated using the Pythagorean/Pythagenport Expected WinsCalculation. | |||||||||
Expected Winning Percentage= (Runs Scored^exp)/((Runs Scored^exp)+(Runs Allowed^exp)), |
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where the exponent (exp) is 0.45+1.5*log(League-Wide Runs Per Game). The AL scored ~5% more runs than the NL. |
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Total Runs | 10265 | ||||||||
AL Runs | 5264 | ||||||||
NL Runs | 5001 |