2026 EXPECTED WINS

Thanks to Casey Hoch of the Fremont Cannons for putting this together.

Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	exp
CCC	52	28	387	258	.677	54	26	-2	1.8243
TIJ	51	31	363	281	.615	50	32	1	1.8243
CHI	48	33	342	266	.613	50	31	-2	1.8243
DAL	48	34	396	301	.623	51	31	-3	1.8243
FRE	46	35	357	311	.563	46	35	0	1.8243
SWD	45	37	376	333	.555	46	36	-1	1.8243
CIN	44	37	326	295	.545	44	37	0	1.8243
HOL	42	38	334	366	.458	37	43	5	1.8243
DET	40	41	341	330	.515	42	39	-2	1.8243
TSS	37	44	298	349	.428	35	46	2	1.8243
CRK	34	47	310	333	.467	38	43	-4	1.8243
GST	30	52	291	392	.367	30	52	0	1.8243
MCM	30	52	274	398	.336	28	54	2	1.8243
Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	exp
SAC	57	24	398	287	.645	52	29	5	1.8243
TEM	49	32	353	247	.657	53	28	-4	1.8243
COL	48	33	341	302	.555	45	36	3	1.8243
TCP	45	36	345	300	.563	46	35	-1	1.8243
SEL	43	38	329	283	.568	46	35	-3	1.8243
PRA	41	41	347	336	.515	42	40	-1	1.8243
ALA	38	42	284	274	.516	41	39	-3	1.8243
BET	37	45	289	303	.478	39	43	-2	1.8243
YRR	33	48	324	426	.378	31	50	2	1.8243
VAL	31	50	318	420	.376	30	51	1	1.8243
TBE	30	50	354	430	.412	33	47	-3	1.8243
LBD	28	52	315	443	.349	28	52	0	1.8243
BAL	28	55	306	434	.346	29	54	-1	1.8243

These were calculated using the Pythagorean/Pythagenport Expected Wins Calculation.
Expected Winning Percentage= (Runs Scored^exp)/((Runs Scored^exp)+(Runs Allowed^exp)),
where the exponent (exp) is 0.45+1.5*log(League-Wide Runs Per Game).
The AL scored ~2% more runs than the NL.

		Total Runs	8698
		AL Runs	4395		2.1380
		NL Runs	4303