June | 2020 | Mid-West Baseball League

2020 MID-SEASON EXPECTED WINS

Thanks to Casey Hoch of the Fremont Cannons for putting this together.

Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	exp
DAL	56	28	361	323	.541	45	39	11	1.474
MCM	44	40	388	356	.532	45	39	-1	1.474
FRE	43	41	455	389	.558	47	37	-4	1.474
MAN	38	45	348	388	.460	38	45	0	1.474
SWD	28	55	286	465	.328	27	56	1	1.474
Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	exp
CHI	51	33	470	346	.611	51	33	0	1.474
DET	44	40	410	333	.576	48	36	-4	1.474
YSS	42	42	424	426	.498	42	42	0	1.474
TIJ	20	64	286	541	.281	24	60	-4	1.474
Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	exp
SBL	58	26	458	361	.587	49	35	9	1.474
HOL	53	31	473	350	.609	51	33	2	1.474
VIR	47	37	537	432	.580	49	35	-2	1.474
MSS	40	44	472	470	.502	42	42	-2	1.474
CCC	23	61	294	482	.325	27	57	-4	1.474
Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	exp
PIT	54	30	455	310	.671	56	28	-2	1.853
BET	36	48	344	379	.455	38	46	-2	1.853
CRK	34	50	321	437	.361	30	54	4	1.853
HIW	33	51	298	365	.407	34	50	-1	1.853
JNE	32	52	318	358	.445	37	47	-5	1.853
Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	exp
COL	63	21	432	308	.652	55	29	8	1.853
TEM	47	37	416	336	.598	50	34	-3	1.853
SEL	45	39	405	383	.526	44	40	1	1.853
VAL	38	46	383	375	.510	43	41	-5	1.853
Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	exp
SAC	54	30	384	289	.629	53	31	1	1.853
TCP	48	36	377	328	.564	47	37	1	1.853
LBD	43	41	334	309	.536	45	39	-2	1.853
POR	33	51	304	388	.389	33	51	0	1.853
RRG	28	56	295	501	.273	23	61	5	1.853

These were calculated using the Pythagorean/Pythagenport Expected Wins Calculation.
Expected Winning Percentage= (Runs Scored^exp)/((Runs Scored^exp)+(Runs Allowed^exp)),
where the exponent (exp) is 0.45+1.5*log(League-Wide Runs Per Game).
The AL scored ~11% more runs than the NL.

				Total Runs	10728
				AL Runs	5662
				NL Runs	5066