2020 MID-SEASON EXPECTED WINS

Thanks to Casey Hoch of the Fremont Cannons for putting this together.

Team Wins Losses Runs For R Allowed Exp W % Exp Win Exp Loss Difference exp
DAL 56 28 361 323 .541 45 39 11 1.474
MCM 44 40 388 356 .532 45 39 -1 1.474
FRE 43 41 455 389 .558 47 37 -4 1.474
MAN 38 45 348 388 .460 38 45 0 1.474
SWD 28 55 286 465 .328 27 56 1 1.474
Team Wins Losses Runs For R Allowed Exp W % Exp Win Exp Loss Difference exp
CHI 51 33 470 346 .611 51 33 0 1.474
DET 44 40 410 333 .576 48 36 -4 1.474
YSS 42 42 424 426 .498 42 42 0 1.474
TIJ 20 64 286 541 .281 24 60 -4 1.474
Team Wins Losses Runs For R Allowed Exp W % Exp Win Exp Loss Difference exp
SBL 58 26 458 361 .587 49 35 9 1.474
HOL 53 31 473 350 .609 51 33 2 1.474
VIR 47 37 537 432 .580 49 35 -2 1.474
MSS 40 44 472 470 .502 42 42 -2 1.474
CCC 23 61 294 482 .325 27 57 -4 1.474
Team Wins Losses Runs For R Allowed Exp W % Exp Win Exp Loss Difference exp
PIT 54 30 455 310 .671 56 28 -2 1.853
BET 36 48 344 379 .455 38 46 -2 1.853
CRK 34 50 321 437 .361 30 54 4 1.853
HIW 33 51 298 365 .407 34 50 -1 1.853
JNE 32 52 318 358 .445 37 47 -5 1.853
Team Wins Losses Runs For R Allowed Exp W % Exp Win Exp Loss Difference exp
COL 63 21 432 308 .652 55 29 8 1.853
TEM 47 37 416 336 .598 50 34 -3 1.853
SEL 45 39 405 383 .526 44 40 1 1.853
VAL 38 46 383 375 .510 43 41 -5 1.853
Team Wins Losses Runs For R Allowed Exp W % Exp Win Exp Loss Difference exp
SAC 54 30 384 289 .629 53 31 1 1.853
TCP 48 36 377 328 .564 47 37 1 1.853
LBD 43 41 334 309 .536 45 39 -2 1.853
POR 33 51 304 388 .389 33 51 0 1.853
RRG 28 56 295 501 .273 23 61 5 1.853
                   
These were calculated using the Pythagorean/Pythagenport Expected Wins Calculation.
Expected Winning Percentage= (Runs Scored^exp)/((Runs Scored^exp)+(Runs Allowed^exp)),
where the exponent (exp) is 0.45+1.5*log(League-Wide Runs Per Game). 
The AL scored ~11% more runs than the NL.
                   
        Total Runs 10728        
        AL Runs 5662        
        NL Runs 5066        

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