2025 EXPECTED WINS

Thanks to Casey Hoch of the Fremont Cannons for putting this together.

Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	exp
CCC	58	26	359	263	.637	54	30	4	1.8073
DET	56	28	362	262	.642	54	30	2	1.8073
CHI	55	28	420	270	.690	57	26	-2	1.8073
FRE	52	31	399	287	.645	54	29	-2	1.8073
TIJ	43	40	307	285	.534	44	39	-1	1.8073
CRK	42	42	299	345	.436	37	47	5	1.8073
SWD	40	44	334	310	.534	45	39	-5	1.8073
TSS	40	44	396	391	.506	42	42	-2	1.8073
CIN	39	45	322	354	.457	38	46	1	1.8073
GST	35	49	322	374	.433	36	48	-1	1.8073
HIW	35	49	278	312	.448	38	46	-3	1.8073
DAL	31	53	270	385	.345	29	55	2	1.8073
HOL	31	53	346	457	.377	32	52	-1	1.8073
MCM	29	54	293	412	.351	29	54	0	1.8073
Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	exp
SAC	62	22	416	270	.685	58	26	4	1.8007
TEM	53	31	351	252	.645	54	30	-1	1.8007
TCP	52	32	347	210	.712	60	24	-8	1.8007
COL	50	34	341	306	.549	46	38	4	1.8007
SEL	49	35	374	261	.657	55	29	-6	1.8007
BET	48	36	349	274	.607	51	33	-3	1.8007
ALA	48	36	353	278	.606	51	33	-3	1.8007
BAL	36	48	314	395	.398	33	51	3	1.8007
LBD	35	49	297	410	.359	30	54	5	1.8007
TBE	34	48	332	490	.332	27	55	7	1.8007
PRA	33	49	326	374	.438	36	46	-3	1.8007
ARB	33	51	348	373	.469	39	45	-6	1.8007
VAL	28	56	266	354	.374	31	53	-3	1.8007
YRR	25	59	246	413	.282	24	60	1	1.8007

These were calculated using the Pythagorean/Pythagenport Expected Wins Calculation.
Expected Winning Percentage= (Runs Scored^exp)/((Runs Scored^exp)+(Runs Allowed^exp)),
where the exponent (exp) is 0.45+1.5*log(League-Wide Runs Per Game).
The AL scored ~1% more runs than the NL.

		Total Runs	9367
		AL Runs	4707
		NL Runs	4660