2023 EXPECTED WINS

Thanks to Casey Hoch of the Fremont Cannons for putting this together.

Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	exp
HOL	59	25	381	250	.683	57	27	2	1.8221
CHI	53	31	408	260	.694	58	26	-5	1.8221
FRE	51	33	375	311	.584	49	35	2	1.8221
CIN	49	35	407	307	.626	53	31	-4	1.8221
MSS	49	35	351	281	.600	50	34	-1	1.8221
VIR	47	37	385	360	.531	45	39	2	1.8221
YSS	47	37	331	277	.580	49	35	-2	1.8221
TIJ	41	43	288	278	.516	43	41	-2	1.8221
SWD	40	44	325	329	.494	42	42	-2	1.8221
DET	39	45	334	353	.475	40	44	-1	1.8221
DAL	33	51	327	472	.339	28	56	5	1.8221
SBL	32	52	365	443	.413	35	49	-3	1.8221
CCC	27	57	299	422	.348	29	55	-2	1.8221
MCM	21	63	256	489	.235	20	64	1	1.8221
Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	exp
TEM	68	16	437	177	.837	70	14	-2	1.8106
SEL	60	24	476	263	.745	63	21	-3	1.8106
BAL	51	33	388	290	.629	53	31	-2	1.8106
SAC	50	34	398	312	.608	51	33	-1	1.8106
HIW	47	37	303	252	.583	49	35	-2	1.8106
TCP	46	38	361	357	.505	42	42	4	1.8106
COL	41	43	333	406	.411	35	49	6	1.8106
POR	41	43	324	331	.490	41	43	0	1.8106
CRK	37	47	327	405	.404	34	50	3	1.8106
VAL	36	48	308	387	.398	33	51	3	1.8106
BET	35	49	317	355	.449	38	46	-3	1.8106
PRA	35	49	328	387	.426	36	48	-1	1.8106
LBD	23	61	237	433	.251	21	63	2	1.8106
YRR	18	66	210	392	.244	21	63	-3	1.8106

These were calculated using the Pythagorean/Pythagenport Expected Wins Calculation.
Expected Winning Percentage= (Runs Scored^exp)/((Runs Scored^exp)+(Runs Allowed^exp)),
where the exponent (exp) is 0.45+1.5*log(League-Wide Runs Per Game).
The AL scored ~2% more runs than the NL.

		Total Runs	9579
		AL Runs	4832
		NL Runs	4747