2022 EXPECTED WINS

Thanks to Casey Hoch of the Fremont Cannons for putting this together.

 

Team Wins Losses Runs For R Allowed Exp W % Exp Win Exp Loss Difference Exp
FRE 63 21 490 306 .707 59 25 4 1.87244
HOL 55 29 436 303 .664 56 28 -1 1.87244
SBL 52 32 425 374 .560 47 37 5 1.87244
YSS 47 37 404 340 .580 49 35 -2 1.87244
CHI 46 38 413 291 .658 55 29 -9 1.87244
DET 42 42 367 350 .522 44 40 -2 1.87244
MSS 42 42 380 392 .485 41 43 1 1.87244
CCC 41 43 312 329 .475 40 44 1 1.87244
CIN 40 44 364 406 .449 38 46 2 1.87244
SWD 40 44 338 329 .513 43 41 -3 1.87244
VIR 37 47 339 413 .409 34 50 3 1.87244
DAL 34 50 290 372 .386 32 52 2 1.87244
TIJ 27 57 361 461 .387 33 51 -6 1.87244
MCM 22 62 301 554 .242 20 64 2 1.87244
                   
LBD 62 22 353 221 .698 59 25 3 1.7866
SEL 59 25 425 252 .718 60 24 -1 1.7866
SAC 52 32 346 270 .609 51 33 1 1.7866
TEM 52 32 387 243 .697 59 25 -7 1.7866
JNE 45 39 291 283 .512 43 41 2 1.7866
BAL 44 39 372 333 .549 46 37 -2 1.7866
BET 43 41 347 348 .499 42 42 1 1.7866
CRK 41 43 329 339 .487 41 43 0 1.7866
TCP 35 49 289 308 .472 40 44 -5 1.7866
POR 33 50 285 363 .394 33 50 0 1.7866
COL 32 52 291 384 .379 32 52 0 1.7866
RRG 30 54 285 401 .352 30 54 0 1.7866
VAL 30 54 298 424 .348 29 55 1 1.7866
HIW 28 54 262 391 .328 27 55 1 1.7866
                   
These were calculated using the Pythagorean/Pythagenport Expected Wins
Calculation.
Expected Winning Percentage= (Runs Scored^exp)/((Runs Scored^exp)+(Runs
Allowed^exp)),
where the exponent (exp) is 0.45+1.5*log(League-Wide Runs Per Game).
 The AL scored ~14.5% more runs than the NL.
                   
    Total Runs 9780            
    AL Runs 5220            
    NL Runs 4560            
                   

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