2021 MID-SEASON EXPECTED WINS

Thanks to Casey Hoch of the Fremont Cannons for putting this together.

Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	exp
DAL	23	10	184	119	.692	23	10	0	1.860
DET	23	10	179	106	.726	24	9	-1	1.860
CHI	22	11	128	87	.672	22	11	0	1.860
FRE	19	14	160	151	.527	17	16	2	1.860
MSS	18	15	168	110	.687	23	10	-5	1.860
VIR	18	15	152	157	.485	16	17	2	1.860
CCC	16	17	138	151	.458	15	18	1	1.860
SWD	15	18	120	163	.361	12	21	3	1.860
HOL	15	18	124	108	.564	19	14	-4	1.860
MCM	14	19	144	144	.500	17	17	-3	1.860
YSS	14	19	150	193	.385	13	20	1	1.860
TIJ	13	20	114	161	.345	11	22	2	1.860
CIN	11	22	126	159	.394	13	20	-2	1.860
SBL	10	23	124	202	.288	9	24	1	1.860
Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	exp
TEM	30	3	164	79	.788	26	7	4	1.796
COL	26	7	167	109	.683	23	10	3	1.796
JNE	20	13	155	119	.617	20	13	0	1.796
SEL	17	16	133	116	.561	19	14	-2	1.796
SAC	17	16	122	121	.504	17	16	0	1.796
LBD	16	17	114	134	.428	14	19	2	1.796
TCP	16	17	91	101	.453	15	18	1	1.796
RRG	15	17	131	127	.514	16	16	-1	1.796
BET	15	18	141	152	.466	15	18	0	1.796
PIT	14	19	109	132	.415	14	19	0	1.796
POR	14	19	134	145	.465	15	18	-1	1.796
HIW	11	21	100	130	.384	12	20	-1	1.796
VAL	10	23	105	157	.327	11	22	-1	1.796
CRK	9	24	151	195	.387	13	20	-4	1.796

These were calculated using the Pythagorean/Pythagenport Expected Wins Calculation.
Expected Winning Percentage= (Runs Scored^exp)/((Runs Scored^exp)+(Runs Allowed^exp)),
where the exponent (exp) is 0.45+1.5*log(League-Wide Runs Per Game).
The AL scored ~11% more runs than the NL.
Total Runs – 3828
AL Runs – 2011
NL Runs – 1817