2021 EXPECTED WINS

Thanks to Casey Hoch of the Fremont Cannons for putting this together.

A.L. Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	exp
DAL	46	20	342	209	.716	47	19	-1	1.875857039
DET	44	22	412	226	.755	50	16	-6	1.875857039
CHI	41	25	274	216	.610	40	26	1	1.875857039
FRE	39	27	323	277	.572	38	28	1	1.875857039
VIR	37	29	314	295	.529	35	31	2	1.875857039
HOL	36	30	275	242	.560	37	29	-1	1.875857039
MSS	34	32	295	243	.590	39	27	-5	1.875857039
YSS	32	34	317	352	.451	30	36	2	1.875857039
CCC	31	35	295	326	.453	30	36	1	1.875857039
SWD	28	38	249	368	.325	21	45	7	1.875857039
TIJ	25	41	262	326	.399	26	40	-1	1.875857039
SBL	24	42	267	387	.333	22	44	2	1.875857039
MCM	23	43	265	313	.423	28	38	-5	1.875857039
CIN	22	44	233	343	.326	22	44	0	1.875857039
N.L. Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	exp
TEM	54	12	331	141	.823	54	12	0	1.804811213
COL	47	19	344	234	.667	44	22	3	1.804811213
SEL	41	25	290	213	.636	42	24	-1	1.804811213
JNE	37	29	300	249	.583	38	28	-1	1.804811213
LBD	36	30	247	226	.540	36	30	0	1.804811213
TCP	36	30	227	215	.524	35	31	1	1.804811213
BET	35	31	281	255	.544	36	30	-1	1.804811213
POR	31	35	262	302	.436	29	37	2	1.804811213
RRG	31	35	280	285	.492	32	34	-1	1.804811213
VAL	28	38	229	301	.379	25	41	3	1.804811213
PIT	26	40	210	277	.378	25	41	1	1.804811213
SAC	26	40	212	282	.374	25	41	1	1.804811213
HIW	17	49	179	335	.244	16	50	1	1.804811213
CRK	17	49	305	382	.400	26	40	-9	1.804811213

These were calculated using the Pythagorean/Pythagenport Expected Wins Calculation.
Expected Winning Percentage= (Runs Scored^exp)/((Runs Scored^exp)+(Runs Allowed^exp)),
where the exponent (exp) is 0.45+1.5*log(League-Wide Runs Per Game).
The AL scored ~11% more runs than the NL.

		Total Runs	7820
		AL Runs	4123
		NL Runs	3697