2024 EXPECTED WINS

Thanks to Casey Hoch of the Fremont Cannons for putting this together.

Team Wins Losses Runs For R Allowed Exp W % Exp Win Exp Loss Difference exp
SBL 54 30 430 319 .635 53 31 1 1.8604
CCC 52 32 435 341 .611 51 33 1 1.8604
HOL 52 32 393 307 .613 51 33 1 1.8604
FRE 49 35 355 311 .561 47 37 2 1.8604
SWD 47 36 401 326 .595 49 34 -2 1.8604
CHI 44 40 377 318 .579 49 35 -5 1.8604
CIN 44 40 373 358 .519 44 40 0 1.8604
TIJ 42 42 322 341 .473 40 44 2 1.8604
VIR 41 43 332 353 .472 40 44 1 1.8604
GST 39 44 393 363 .537 45 38 -6 1.8604
MSS 34 50 347 379 .459 39 45 -5 1.8604
DET 31 53 340 476 .348 29 55 2 1.8604
DAL 30 54 312 429 .356 30 54 0 1.8604
MCM 28 56 306 495 .290 24 60 4 1.8604
Team Wins Losses Runs For R Allowed Exp W % Exp Win Exp Loss Difference exp
TEM 63 21 437 233 .762 64 20 -1 1.8509
TCP 58 26 449 269 .721 61 23 -3 1.8509
SEL 54 29 438 295 .675 56 27 -2 1.8509
BET 53 31 390 252 .692 58 26 -5 1.8509
VAL 50 34 455 372 .592 50 34 0 1.8509
ARB 49 35 313 298 .523 44 40 5 1.8509
PRA 48 35 461 375 .594 49 34 -1 1.8509
CRK 46 38 422 355 .579 49 35 -3 1.8509
HIW 37 45 237 270 .440 36 46 1 1.8509
BAL 35 49 317 420 .373 31 53 4 1.8509
COL 27 57 333 500 .320 27 57 0 1.8509
SAC 24 60 298 433 .334 28 56 -4 1.8509
LBD 23 61 256 529 .207 17 67 6 1.8509
YRR 19 65 227 432 .233 20 64 -1 1.8509
                   
These were calculated using the Pythagorean/Pythagenport Expected Wins Calculation.
Expected Winning Percentage= (Runs Scored^exp)/((Runs Scored^exp)+(Runs Allowed^exp)),
where the exponent (exp) is 0.45+1.5*log(League-Wide Runs Per Game). 
The AL scored ~2% more runs than the NL.
                   
    Total Runs 9579            
    AL Runs 4832            
    NL Runs 4747            

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