2024 EXPECTED WINS

Thanks to Casey Hoch of the Fremont Cannons for putting this together.

Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	exp
SBL	54	30	430	319	.635	53	31	1	1.8604
CCC	52	32	435	341	.611	51	33	1	1.8604
HOL	52	32	393	307	.613	51	33	1	1.8604
FRE	49	35	355	311	.561	47	37	2	1.8604
SWD	47	36	401	326	.595	49	34	-2	1.8604
CHI	44	40	377	318	.579	49	35	-5	1.8604
CIN	44	40	373	358	.519	44	40	0	1.8604
TIJ	42	42	322	341	.473	40	44	2	1.8604
VIR	41	43	332	353	.472	40	44	1	1.8604
GST	39	44	393	363	.537	45	38	-6	1.8604
MSS	34	50	347	379	.459	39	45	-5	1.8604
DET	31	53	340	476	.348	29	55	2	1.8604
DAL	30	54	312	429	.356	30	54	0	1.8604
MCM	28	56	306	495	.290	24	60	4	1.8604
Team	Wins	Losses	Runs For	R Allowed	Exp W %	Exp Win	Exp Loss	Difference	exp
TEM	63	21	437	233	.762	64	20	-1	1.8509
TCP	58	26	449	269	.721	61	23	-3	1.8509
SEL	54	29	438	295	.675	56	27	-2	1.8509
BET	53	31	390	252	.692	58	26	-5	1.8509
VAL	50	34	455	372	.592	50	34	0	1.8509
ARB	49	35	313	298	.523	44	40	5	1.8509
PRA	48	35	461	375	.594	49	34	-1	1.8509
CRK	46	38	422	355	.579	49	35	-3	1.8509
HIW	37	45	237	270	.440	36	46	1	1.8509
BAL	35	49	317	420	.373	31	53	4	1.8509
COL	27	57	333	500	.320	27	57	0	1.8509
SAC	24	60	298	433	.334	28	56	-4	1.8509
LBD	23	61	256	529	.207	17	67	6	1.8509
YRR	19	65	227	432	.233	20	64	-1	1.8509


These were calculated using the Pythagorean/Pythagenport Expected Wins Calculation.
Expected Winning Percentage= (Runs Scored^exp)/((Runs Scored^exp)+(Runs Allowed^exp)),
where the exponent (exp) is 0.45+1.5*log(League-Wide Runs Per Game).
The AL scored ~2% more runs than the NL.

		Total Runs	9579
		AL Runs	4832
		NL Runs	4747