2017 MID-SEASON EXPECTED WINS

Thanks to Casey Hoch for putting this together.

Team Wins Losses Runs For R Allowed Exp W % Exp Win Exp Loss Difference exp
MCM 51 33 412 317 .618 52 32 -1 1.837
MAN 49 35 390 293 .628 53 31 -4 1.837
DAL 31 53 333 500 .322 27 57 4 1.837
FRE 25 59 309 461 .324 27 57 -2 1.837
SWD 21 63 283 556 .224 19 65 2 1.837
                   
CHI 64 20 502 280 .745 63 21 1 1.837
DET 61 23 491 255 .769 65 19 -4 1.837
TIJ 50 34 384 297 .616 52 32 -2 1.837
YSS 41 43 398 382 .519 44 40 -3 1.837
                   
HOL 57 27 414 274 .681 57 27 0 1.837
MSS 37 47 376 394 .479 40 44 -3 1.837
VIR 36 48 377 424 .446 37 47 -1 1.837
SBL 35 49 363 458 .395 33 51 2 1.837
CCC 30 54 345 486 .348 29 55 1 1.837
                   
Team Wins Losses Runs For R Allowed Exp W % Exp Win Exp Loss Difference exp
BET 57 27 378 284 .628 53 31 4 1.837
PIT 46 38 343 293 .572 48 36 -2 1.837
WCB 46 38 360 362 .497 42 42 4 1.837
CRK 36 48 339 322 .524 44 40 -8 1.837
JNE 34 50 281 338 .416 35 49 -1 1.837
                   
TEM 69 15 464 229 .785 66 18 3 1.837
COL 52 32 379 251 .681 57 27 -5 1.837
VAL 30 54 299 377 .395 33 51 -3 1.837
SEL 22 62 219 400 .249 21 63 1 1.837
                   
SAC 61 23 383 197 .772 65 19 -4 1.837
TCP 53 31 359 273 .623 52 32 1 1.837
LBD 32 52 252 378 .322 27 57 5 1.837
GHG 29 55 274 362 .375 31 53 -2 1.837
RRG 21 63 180 444 .160 13 71 8 1.837

These were calculated using the Pythagorean/Pythagenport Expected Wins Calculation.
Expected Winning Percentage= (Runs Scored^exp)/((Runs Scored^exp)+(Runs Allowed^exp)),
where the exponent (exp) is 0.45+1.5*log(League-Wide Runs Per Game), which in our case was 1.837 .

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